Ajaccio 1-1 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.48
Over 2.5
48%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
5.97
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.73
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
16%
3.95
X/2
8%
7.85
X/X
12%
3.56
2/1
11%
33.5
2/2
10%
7.1
2/X
5%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
64%
-11.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
36%
+11.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.25/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.45
+5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -56%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.8 Crosses 12.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Martigues
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
16.02.2002 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 1-0 Martigues Martigues FR2
05.10.2001 Martigues Martigues 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
11.05.2001 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Martigues Martigues FR2
11.11.2000 Martigues Martigues 2-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
1-1
AWAY Martigues
3 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio and Martigues shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ajaccio at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 3-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ajaccio had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ajaccio and 0.50 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Martigues?

Ajaccio 1-1 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 52%, draw 25%, Martigues 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajaccio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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