Caen vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caen v Lorient — Team-Based Signals
Caen vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Caen
FR2
1-2
HT 0-2
Lorient
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Caen
FRLK
2-1
HT 1-1
Lorient
HAZ
1-0
HT 1-0
Caen
FR1
3-2
HT 2-2
Lorient
FR1
Caen 1-2 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics
Lorient nicked a narrow win over Caen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Lorient made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Caen had 43% of the ball to Lorient's 57%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.43 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Caen and 1.33 for Lorient.
What was the final score of Caen vs Lorient?
Caen 1-2 Lorient in the France - Ligue 2 on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caen vs Lorient?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caen 35%, draw 26%, Lorient 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.