Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 De Treffers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.21
Over Pick
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY De Treffers The Market 51%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.77/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.19/1.29
-45% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1W-1D-3L
AWAY De Treffers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
181 Passes 400
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 54
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 De Treffers De Treffers 3-4 HT 1-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
16.11.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-2 HT 0-1 De Treffers De Treffers HOLTW
30.03.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 HT 0-1 De Treffers De Treffers HOLTW
28.10.2023 De Treffers De Treffers 4-0 HT 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
02.09.2017 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 HT 0-0 De Treffers De Treffers HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0-1
AWAY De Treffers
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs De Treffers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

De Treffers nicked a narrow win over Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had De Treffers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 52% of the ball to De Treffers's 48%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, De Treffers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 2.20 for De Treffers.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs De Treffers?

Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 De Treffers in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs De Treffers?

Before kick-off our model rated an De Treffers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 36%, draw 21%, De Treffers 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Treffers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (De Treffers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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