De Treffers vs Excelsior Maassluis Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Treffers v Excelsior Maassluis — Team-Based Signals
De Treffers vs Excelsior Maassluis Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Excelsior Maassluis
HOLTW
1-1
HT 0-0
De Treffers
HOLTW
De Treffers 3-4 Excelsior Maassluis — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior Maassluis squeezed past De Treffers 4-3 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was De Treffers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, De Treffers had 50% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 50%, shots finished 13-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, De Treffers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for De Treffers and 0.25 for Excelsior Maassluis.
What was the final score of De Treffers vs Excelsior Maassluis?
De Treffers 3-4 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Treffers vs Excelsior Maassluis?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Treffers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split De Treffers 43%, draw 22%, Excelsior Maassluis 35%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Treffers) went the other way.