Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 23 Aug 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Albirex Niigata (K)
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2025/2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) v Albirex Niigata (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.10/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-10% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
The Meetings
14.10.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
18.05.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) edged past Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and 0.00 for Albirex Niigata (K).

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 48%, draw 28%, Albirex Niigata (K) 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5
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