Ballymena United 4-0 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
7%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 26% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.01
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.35
X/1
11%
3.98
X/2
5%
10.15
X/X
12%
5.62
2/1
11%
21.5
2/2
15%
8.2
2/X
6%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United ran out comfortable winners over Bangor FC 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ballymena United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Bangor FC?

Ballymena United 4-0 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 53%, draw 24%, Bangor FC 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballymena United), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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