Glenavon FC 1-2 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.01
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.92
1/2
8%
23.2
1/X
6%
16.05
X/1
7%
8.53
X/2
15%
4.1
X/X
9%
5.01
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.3
2/X
10%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.34/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.18
+12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
30.11.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 3-3 HT 0-2 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
24.08.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
27.01.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KILK
02.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC edged past Glenavon FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.33 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Coleraine FC?

Glenavon FC 1-2 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 25%, draw 25%, Coleraine FC 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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