Dungannon Swifts 0-2 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
16%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.86
X/2
16%
6.14
X/X
8%
5.01
2/1
6%
24.5
2/2
17%
4.39
2/X
5%
14.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.0 — our 6% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
2.12/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.82
+61% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRK
15.02.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
23.11.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
28.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
06.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-2 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
17.02.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers saw off Dungannon Swifts 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 39% — and on the day Carrick Rangers made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.00 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

Dungannon Swifts 0-2 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 40%, draw 21%, Carrick Rangers 39%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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