Raufoss 1-2 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
68%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
15%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-1.3pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.2pp
69%
Away Win
67%
+1.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 71%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.51/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/0.65
+40% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +37%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lilleström
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2025 Lilleström Lilleström 2-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
28.10.2020 Raufoss Raufoss 2-0 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
17.08.2020 Lilleström Lilleström 2-2 HT 1-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström squeezed past Raufoss 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Raufoss and 1.33 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Lilleström?

Raufoss 1-2 Lilleström in the Norway - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 13%, draw 19%, Lilleström 69%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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