Lilleström 2-1 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.29
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
25%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.98
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.05
2-3 Goals
40%
2.19
4-5 Goals
24%
2.33
6+ Goals
13%
4.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
73%
-21.6pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.6pp
25%
Away Win
11%
+13.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +23%
1.52/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.83
-33% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Raufoss
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
28.10.2020 Raufoss Raufoss 2-0 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
17.08.2020 Lilleström Lilleström 2-2 HT 1-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
2-1
AWAY Raufoss
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström edged past Raufoss 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lilleström had 60% of the ball to Raufoss's 40%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Raufoss led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lilleström and 2.00 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Raufoss?

Lilleström 2-1 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 51%, draw 24%, Raufoss 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
30 Jul 2025
19:00 Kongsvinger vs Start Analysis →
19:00 Skeid vs Ranheim Analysis →
19:00 Moss vs Sogndal Analysis →
19:00 Hodd vs Egersunds Analysis →
19:00 Lyn Oslo vs Aalesund Analysis →
19:00 Mjondalen vs Asane Analysis →