Sogndal 3-1 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

Sogndal
3-1 HT 3-0
Moss
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
7.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
2.01/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.00
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Moss
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2025 Moss Moss 3-1 HT 2-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
19.08.2024 Moss Moss 3-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
20.04.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 1-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
07.10.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
07.06.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOK
23.04.2023 Moss Moss 1-2 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal saw off Moss 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sogndal as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sogndal and 1.33 for Moss.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Moss?

Sogndal 3-1 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 51%, draw 23%, Moss 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sogndal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sogndal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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