Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Universidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Comerciantes Unidos v Alianza Universidad — Team-Based Signals
Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Alianza Universidad
PERU2
Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 Alianza Universidad — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Universidad nicked a narrow win over Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Comerciantes Unidos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 56% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 44%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.95 to 0.97 — on chances, Comerciantes Unidos could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Comerciantes Unidos had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 0.50 for Alianza Universidad.
What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Universidad?
Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Universidad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 43%, draw 28%, Alianza Universidad 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.