Sporting Cristal 2-2 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
77%
-2.1pp
17%
Draw
14%
+2.6pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.34/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.84
+24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -4%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 71%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.8 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.78 xG 1.07
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
336 Passes 175
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 4-1 HT 3-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
25.08.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-0 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
31.03.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
26.09.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
07.05.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
26.07.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
2-2
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
3.08 xG 0.70
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 1
345 Passes 133
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal and UTC Cajamarca shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Sporting Cristal carried 75% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 68% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 32%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 3.08 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.17 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?

Sporting Cristal 2-2 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 75%, draw 17%, UTC Cajamarca 8%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Cristal), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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