Sporting Cristal 4-0 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
2.09/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.54
+33% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
23.6 Crosses 14.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
4W-2D-0L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.99 xG 1.08
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
372 Passes 171
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
26.09.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
07.05.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
26.07.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
25.02.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 2-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
17.09.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-6 HT 0-3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
4-0
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
2.15 xG 0.34
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
428 Passes 165
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 7
35 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal cruised past UTC Cajamarca 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 68% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 32%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.15 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.00 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?

Sporting Cristal 4-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 62%, draw 21%, UTC Cajamarca 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
25 Aug 2024
04:30 Universitario vs Cesar Vallejo Analysis →
21:15 ADT vs Sport Huancayo Analysis →
23:30 Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso Analysis →