Universitario 1-0 Cesar Vallejo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.5pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.75/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.00
+10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
21.6 Crosses 12.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.51 xG 0.68
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
228 Passes 328
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
29.09.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
20.05.2023 Universitario Universitario 4-0 HT 2-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
28.07.2022 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
27.02.2022 Universitario Universitario 3-0 HT 2-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
03.10.2021 Universitario Universitario 3-0 HT 2-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
1-0
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
0.67 xG 0.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
292 Passes 390
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Cesar Vallejo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario edged past Cesar Vallejo 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Universitario had 44% of the ball to Cesar Vallejo's 56%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 0.67 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Universitario and 0.17 for Cesar Vallejo.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Cesar Vallejo?

Universitario 1-0 Cesar Vallejo in the Peru - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Cesar Vallejo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Universitario 63%, draw 21%, Cesar Vallejo 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ BTTS No
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