UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UTC Cajamarca v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
0-2
HT 0-2
Sporting Cristal
PER
3-2
HT 2-1
UTC Cajamarca
PER
UTC Cajamarca 4-1 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
UTC Cajamarca swept aside Sporting Cristal 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Cristal at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 42% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 58%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.86 to 1.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 2.17 for Sporting Cristal.
What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal?
UTC Cajamarca 4-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 32%, draw 28%, Sporting Cristal 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Cristal) went the other way.