Shinnik 1-1 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.94
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
50%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
31%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
50%
Away Win
39%
+11.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.18/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.90
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
1W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
09.03.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
23.09.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-4 HT 0-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
05.03.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-1 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
1-1
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik and FK Rodina Moskva couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FK Rodina Moskva at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Shinnik had 40% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 60%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Shinnik and 1.25 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Shinnik 1-1 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 24%, draw 26%, FK Rodina Moskva 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5
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