Chernomorets 0-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.49/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.23
+9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-3 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
14.09.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 2-1 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
18.05.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-2 HT 0-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
23.09.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-1 HT 2-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
05.10.2022 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernomorets
0-2
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk saw off Chernomorets 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chernomorets at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chernomorets had 62% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 38%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Chernomorets and 1.40 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Chernomorets 0-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 53%, draw 23%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chernomorets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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