Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-3 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.45/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.34
+40% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 2-1 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
18.05.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-2 HT 0-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
23.09.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-1 HT 2-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
05.10.2022 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
0-3
AWAY Chernomorets
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets swept aside Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Chernomorets made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 50% of the ball to Chernomorets's 50%, shots finished 3-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 0.75 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Chernomorets?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-3 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 39%, draw 27%, Chernomorets 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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