FK Rodina Moskva 3-1 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 43%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.59/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.10
-46% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.10.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
3-1
AWAY FC Sochi
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva got the better of FC Sochi 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; FK Rodina Moskva found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 44% of the ball to FC Sochi's 56%, shots finished 6-6.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs FC Sochi?

FK Rodina Moskva 3-1 FC Sochi in the Russia - FNL on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 33%, draw 29%, FC Sochi 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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