Arsenal Tula 1-0 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.0pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.47/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.81
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
13.11.2023 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-3 HT 0-2 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
08.10.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 3-0 HT 3-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
28.09.2015 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
1-0
AWAY Sokol Saratov
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula nicked a narrow win over Sokol Saratov 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal Tula as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 53% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 47%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.50 for Sokol Saratov.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Sokol Saratov?

Arsenal Tula 1-0 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 44%, draw 30%, Sokol Saratov 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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