OFK Beograd 1-1 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.63/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.57
-17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.1 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.12 xG 0.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
435 Passes 289
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
24.11.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
20.07.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
1-1
AWAY Mladost Lucani
0.86 xG 1.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
267 Passes 395
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd and Mladost Lucani couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. OFK Beograd carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 42% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 58%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.86 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, OFK Beograd had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OFK Beograd and 0.33 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Mladost Lucani?

OFK Beograd 1-1 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 57%, draw 21%, Mladost Lucani 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OFK Beograd), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
23 Aug 2025
22:00 Vojvodina vs Backa Topola Analysis →