OFK Beograd 1-0 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.95/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.88
-13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.3 Crosses 13.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.30 xG 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
497 Passes 263
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
20.07.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
1-0
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.75 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
23 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
310 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 40
11 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd edged past Mladost Lucani 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had OFK Beograd as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 47% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 53%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 1.75 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, OFK Beograd had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OFK Beograd and 0.50 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Mladost Lucani?

OFK Beograd 1-0 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 56%, draw 24%, Mladost Lucani 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFK Beograd), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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