Spartak Subotica 1-0 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.25/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.39
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
17.1 Crosses 18.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
287 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2025 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 1-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
22.09.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-2 HT 2-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
07.05.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 3-1 HT 3-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
03.04.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 0-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
28.10.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
22.05.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-0
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.26 xG 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
315 Passes 382
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 17
6 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica squeezed past Radnicki Nis 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Subotica as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 47% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 53%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 1.26 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.33 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki Nis?

Spartak Subotica 1-0 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 41%, draw 31%, Radnicki Nis 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Subotica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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