FK Partizan 1-2 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +19%
1.18/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.04
+12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
11.5 Crosses 13.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Backa Topola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
318 Passes 365
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRBK
29.03.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
03.11.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-2 HT 0-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
28.04.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-2 HT 1-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
25.11.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-4 HT 0-3 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
29.07.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 3-3 HT 2-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
1-2
AWAY Backa Topola
0.79 xG 1.01
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 Passes 248
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola edged past FK Partizan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Backa Topola found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FK Partizan had 56% of the ball to Backa Topola's 44%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.79 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Partizan and 1.67 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs Backa Topola?

FK Partizan 1-2 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 38%, draw 27%, Backa Topola 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Partizan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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