Puchov 2-3 Samorin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puchov EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Samorin EU Bookmakers 22%
-15% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.74/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.11
-16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puchov
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Samorin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Samorin Samorin 1-1 HT 0-1 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
12.10.2024 Puchov Puchov 3-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
18.11.2023 Puchov Puchov 1-6 HT 0-4 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
06.08.2023 Samorin Samorin 2-5 HT 2-3 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
09.11.2022 Samorin Samorin 1-1 HT 0-0 Puchov Puchov SLOVK
22.10.2022 Puchov Puchov 0-1 HT 0-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puchov
2-3
AWAY Samorin
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Puchov vs Samorin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samorin nicked a narrow win over Puchov 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Puchov at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Puchov had 54% of the ball to Samorin's 46%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Puchov and 2.00 for Samorin.

What was the final score of Puchov vs Samorin?

Puchov 2-3 Samorin in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puchov vs Samorin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puchov win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Puchov 52%, draw 22%, Samorin 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puchov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puchov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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