Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 Juventud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.17/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.64
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Juventud
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Juventud Juventud 1-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
26.10.2019 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Juventud Juventud URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Juventud
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Juventud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud edged past Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 34% — and on the day Juventud made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 54% of the ball to Juventud's 46%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 0.50 for Juventud.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Juventud?

Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Juventud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 40%, draw 25%, Juventud 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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