Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Plaza Colonia — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
4-0
HT 2-0
Plaza Colonia
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
Defensor Sporting 1-0 Plaza Colonia — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting edged past Plaza Colonia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 51% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 49%, shots finished 12-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.33 for Plaza Colonia.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
Defensor Sporting 1-0 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 49%, draw 27%, Plaza Colonia 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.