Rimini 1-0 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
7%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rimini EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.55/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+34% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rimini
1-0
AWAY Milan II
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rimini vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini edged past Milan II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Rimini made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Rimini had 38% of the ball to Milan II's 62%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Rimini vs Milan II?

Rimini 1-0 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rimini vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rimini win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rimini 38%, draw 25%, Milan II 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rimini), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rimini) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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