Pescara 0-0 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.69/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.21
+7% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Perugia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.65 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
433 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.01.2024 Pescara Pescara 0-1 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
10.09.2023 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
14.08.2020 Perugia Perugia 2-1 HT 2-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
10.08.2020 Pescara Pescara 2-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTB
10.07.2020 Pescara Pescara 2-2 HT 2-2 Perugia Perugia İTB
01.12.2019 Perugia Perugia 3-1 HT 2-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
0-0
AWAY Perugia
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara and Perugia played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Pescara at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Pescara had 52% of the ball to Perugia's 48%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pescara and 1.67 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Perugia?

Pescara 0-0 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pescara 47%, draw 28%, Perugia 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pescara), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
23 Sep 2024
21:45 Rimini vs Milan II Analysis →
21:45 SPAL vs Athletic Carpi Analysis →