Alianza Petrolera 0-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.5pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.22/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.96
+16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
17.2 Crosses 12.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2W-0D-4L
AWAY America de Cali
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 Passes 301
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
07.03.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali CON CSA
03.09.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-3 HT 1-2 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
19.03.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
18.10.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-2 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
03.05.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
0-1
AWAY America de Cali
0.47 xG 0.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
272 Passes 241
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali edged past Alianza Petrolera 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) promised a tight game; America de Cali found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 52% of the ball to America de Cali's 48%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.47 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.50 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs America de Cali?

Alianza Petrolera 0-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated an America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 29%, draw 33%, America de Cali 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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