Junior vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Junior v Aguilas Doradas — Team-Based Signals
Junior vs Aguilas Doradas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Junior
KOL
3-1
HT 1-1
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Junior
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Junior
KOL
Junior 3-4 Aguilas Doradas — Actual Match Statistics
Aguilas Doradas nicked a narrow win over Junior 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Junior at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Junior had 63% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 37%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.57 to 2.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aguilas Doradas's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Junior and 0.83 for Aguilas Doradas.
What was the final score of Junior vs Aguilas Doradas?
Junior 3-4 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Junior vs Aguilas Doradas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Junior 44%, draw 29%, Aguilas Doradas 27%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.