Export Sebaco 4-0 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.78/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.69
-5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
10.03.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
13.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
14.09.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-3 HT 0-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
14.04.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 0-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
17.02.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-4 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco swept aside Deportivo Ocotal 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Export Sebaco as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Ocotal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Export Sebaco and 2.00 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Export Sebaco 4-0 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 50%, draw 27%, Deportivo Ocotal 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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