Deportivo Ocotal 3-0 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.18/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.35
-20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
13.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
14.09.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-3 HT 0-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
14.04.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 0-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
17.02.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-4 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
31.10.2022 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Ocotal ran out comfortable winners over Export Sebaco 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Deportivo Ocotal made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 1.83 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Export Sebaco?

Deportivo Ocotal 3-0 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Ocotal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 40%, draw 29%, Export Sebaco 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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