Orgánica Masachapa 1-5 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
7.18
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
52%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.96
Over 2.5
50%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
11%
+14.9pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.4pp
52%
Away Win
72%
-20.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
30%
+19.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
70%
-19.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 77%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
0.81/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.84
-15% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orgánica Masachapa
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 7
10.03.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 1-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
12.11.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-0 HT 1-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
16.09.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 0-4 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orgánica Masachapa
1-5
AWAY Real Esteli
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orgánica Masachapa vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli swept aside Orgánica Masachapa 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Orgánica Masachapa had 36% of the ball to Real Esteli's 64%, shots finished 9-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Orgánica Masachapa and 2.33 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Orgánica Masachapa vs Real Esteli?

Orgánica Masachapa 1-5 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orgánica Masachapa vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Orgánica Masachapa 26%, draw 22%, Real Esteli 52%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ BTTS No
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