Libertad 1-0 Tacuary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacuary EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +13%
0.49/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.46
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
26.0 Crosses 22.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tacuary
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Tacuary Tacuary 2-4 HT 1-3 Libertad Libertad PAR
19.05.2024 Tacuary Tacuary 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
27.02.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
30.11.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-2 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
16.09.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 0-4 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
09.05.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 3-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
1-0
AWAY Tacuary
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Tacuary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad nicked a narrow win over Tacuary 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Libertad had 52% of the ball to Tacuary's 48%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Libertad and 1.33 for Tacuary.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Tacuary?

Libertad 1-0 Tacuary in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Tacuary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Libertad 48%, draw 26%, Tacuary 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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