Alloa Athletic 3-0 Kilmarnock II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.61
Over 2.5
69%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.66
No
31%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
5.53
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
31%
2.47
6+ Goals
18%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
68%
-1.0pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.2pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.8pp
31%
Under 2.5
35%
-3.6pp
69%
Over 2.5
65%
+3.6pp
69%
BTTS Yes
56%
+12.6pp
31%
BTTS No
44%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock II EU Bookmakers 17%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.06/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-24% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -43%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
464 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Kilmarnock II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic ran out comfortable winners over Kilmarnock II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (69%) missed.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Kilmarnock II?

Alloa Athletic 3-0 Kilmarnock II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Kilmarnock II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 67%, draw 18%, Kilmarnock II 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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