Queen Of The South 2-3 Hearts II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.25
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
2.61
Over 2.5
71%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.96
No
37%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
5.46
2-3 Goals
33%
1.99
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
39%
2.49
6+ Goals
15%
5.57
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.49 — our 39% vs market 32.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
76%
+3.4pp
13%
Draw
15%
-2.3pp
8%
Away Win
9%
-1.2pp
29%
Under 2.5
35%
-5.5pp
71%
Over 2.5
65%
+5.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
47%
+16.1pp
37%
BTTS No
53%
-16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts II EU Bookmakers 11%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.85/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/3.00
+6% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Hearts II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts II nicked a narrow win over Queen Of The South 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Queen Of The South at 80% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Hearts II?

Queen Of The South 2-3 Hearts II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Hearts II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 80%, draw 13%, Hearts II 8%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queen Of The South) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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