Stenhousemuir 3-0 East Kilbride — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 23 Sep 2025

Stenhousemuir
3-0 HT 1-0
East Kilbride
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Stenhousemuir vs East Kilbride Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.51
2-3 Goals
32%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
33%
2.69
6+ Goals
17%
7.16
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.69 — our 33% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.8pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.9pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+6.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-1.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+1.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.7pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stenhousemuir v East Kilbride — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY East Kilbride EU Bookmakers 42%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+47% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
245 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Stenhousemuir vs East Kilbride Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
0W-2D-2L
AWAY East Kilbride
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
02.07.2019 East Kilbride East Kilbride 1-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir HAZ
25.07.2017 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-2 HT 0-0 East Kilbride East Kilbride İKLK
05.12.2015 East Kilbride East Kilbride 1-1 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKK
28.11.2015 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-2 HT 0-1 East Kilbride East Kilbride İKK
FAQ Stenhousemuir vs East Kilbride
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Stenhousemuir ran out comfortable winners over East Kilbride 3-0 in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 23 Sep 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 62% and both teams to score was favoured at 64%.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, East Kilbride lead the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.50 for East Kilbride.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs East Kilbride?

Stenhousemuir 3-0 East Kilbride in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs East Kilbride?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Kilbride win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 37%, draw 18%, East Kilbride 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (East Kilbride), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Kilbride) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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