Al Wehda 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
7.18
Draw
31%
5.15
Away
61%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
3%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
11%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
16%
+14.7pp
61%
Away Win
72%
-11.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 77%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.30/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.79
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +115%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 80%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
7.0 Crosses 22.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.99 xG 2.27
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
299 Passes 454
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
15.09.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 7-1 HT 3-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
08.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUSK
26.02.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
28.08.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
09.04.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
0-1
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.28 xG 1.71
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
220 Passes 454
78% Pass Accuracy 92%
5 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah squeezed past Al Wehda 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Wehda had 36% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 64%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.28 to 1.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ittihad-Jeddah's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Wehda and 3.33 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Wehda 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 8%, draw 31%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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