Najma 2-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒18:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
19%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.7pp
37%
Draw
28%
+9.1pp
19%
Away Win
33%
-13.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Najma EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.41/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.04
-100% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.0 Crosses 20.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Najma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Damac FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.14 xG 0.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
230 Passes 292
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 34
5 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2024 Najma 2-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Najma
2-1
AWAY Damac FC
1.12 xG 0.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
291 Passes 341
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Najma vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Najma edged past Damac FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Najma as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Najma had 47% of the ball to Damac FC's 53%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.12 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Najma vs Damac FC?

Najma 2-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Najma vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Najma 44%, draw 37%, Damac FC 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Najma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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