Çorum FK 1-1 Serik Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.73
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.55
X/1
15%
3.69
X/2
4%
14.5
X/X
12%
5.56
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
13.4
2/X
3%
21.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Spor EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.45/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.53
-29% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.7
32.5 Crosses 8.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
1-1
AWAY Serik Spor
1.43 xG 0.42
83% Ball Possession 17%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
555 Passes 71
86% Pass Accuracy 51%
32 Box Touches 5
43 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Serik Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK and Serik Spor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Çorum FK carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Çorum FK had 83% of the ball to Serik Spor's 17%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.43 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Serik Spor?

Çorum FK 1-1 Serik Spor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Serik Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 63%, draw 21%, Serik Spor 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ BTTS No
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