Iğdır FK 4-2 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.87
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
18%
4.14
X/2
8%
11.45
X/X
11%
6.49
2/1
5%
19.95
2/2
7%
8.76
2/X
5%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.73/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.60
+6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
21.7 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
4-2
AWAY Hatayspor
1.96 xG 1.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
253 Passes 339
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK beat Hatayspor 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Iğdır FK as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 45% of the ball to Hatayspor's 55%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.96 to 1.03.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Hatayspor?

Iğdır FK 4-2 Hatayspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 60%, draw 22%, Hatayspor 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iğdır FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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