Boluspor vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boluspor v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals
Boluspor vs Ümraniyespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Boluspor
T1L
0-2
HT 0-2
Ümraniyespor
T1L
1-2
HT 0-1
Boluspor
T1L
Boluspor 0-1 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics
Ümraniyespor nicked a narrow win over Boluspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Boluspor at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Boluspor had 66% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 34%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 2.66 to 0.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Boluspor.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boluspor and 0.83 for Ümraniyespor.
What was the final score of Boluspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Boluspor 0-1 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 59%, draw 21%, Ümraniyespor 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.