Ümraniyespor 1-0 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.11
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
12%
4.8
X/2
11%
6.58
X/X
13%
4.21
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
9%
5.06
2/X
10%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +22%
1.31/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.36
+6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.0 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Boluspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 1.86
52% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
342 Passes 302
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2024 Boluspor Boluspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
13.04.2024 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
25.11.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-2 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
24.04.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
05.12.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-2 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
15.04.2021 Boluspor Boluspor 1-4 HT 1-2 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
1-0
AWAY Boluspor
1.30 xG 0.86
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
268 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor nicked a narrow win over Boluspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ümraniyespor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 45% of the ball to Boluspor's 55%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.30 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.50 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor?

Ümraniyespor 1-0 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 44%, draw 29%, Boluspor 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ümraniyespor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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