Sakaryaspor 5-0 Yeni Malatyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.07
Draw
14%
8.78
Away
10%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
87%
-10.8pp
14%
Draw
8%
+6.1pp
10%
Away Win
5%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 94%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor EU Bookmakers 8%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
2.13/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.89
-5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -36%
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
481 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 70%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.2
25.3 Crosses 5.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.02 xG 1.45
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
358 Passes 224
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
01.10.2022 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-1 HT 2-1 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor T1L
27.07.2008 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor KZC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
5-0
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
2.67 xG 0.13
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
548 Passes 279
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 3
27 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor cruised past Yeni Malatyaspor 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sakaryaspor as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 63% of the ball to Yeni Malatyaspor's 37%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 2.67 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sakaryaspor and 0.33 for Yeni Malatyaspor.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Sakaryaspor 5-0 Yeni Malatyaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 77%, draw 14%, Yeni Malatyaspor 10%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakaryaspor), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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