MKE Ankaragücü 0-4 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.57
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
12%
5.23
X/2
15%
5.98
X/X
14%
4.04
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
12%
4.4
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.14/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.24
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
16.2 Crosses 11.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Iğdır FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.28
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
475 Passes 225
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 1-0 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0-4
AWAY Iğdır FK
2.29 xG 1.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
388 Passes 342
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK cruised past MKE Ankaragücü 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was MKE Ankaragücü at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 53% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 47%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.29 to 1.85 — on chances, MKE Ankaragücü could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Iğdır FK?

MKE Ankaragücü 0-4 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 41%, draw 27%, Iğdır FK 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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