Santa Cruz 2-3 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-5.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
0.88/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.06
+3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -26%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.3 Crosses 18.9
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bolivar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.82 xG 2.04
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
161 Passes 388
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 4-0 HT 2-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
05.12.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 3-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
26.06.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 3-0 HT 2-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
25.10.2021 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-3 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
12.07.2021 Bolivar Bolivar 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
23.12.2020 Bolivar Bolivar 4-0 HT 2-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
2-3
AWAY Bolivar
2.90 xG 2.42
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
91 Passes 250
59% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar edged past Santa Cruz 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 32% of the ball to Bolivar's 68%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 2.90 to 2.42 — on chances, Santa Cruz could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Cruz and 2.67 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Bolivar?

Santa Cruz 2-3 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 23%, draw 24%, Bolivar 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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