Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 Royal AM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.44
No
66%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 32% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-10.9pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.0pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
37%
-3.0pp
66%
BTTS No
63%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal AM EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.48/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.61
+25% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -15%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
14.3 Crosses 10.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Royal AM
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.50 xG 0.66
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
421 Passes 211
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2024 Royal AM Royal AM 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
11.05.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
14.03.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 5-1 HT 3-0 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
29.10.2022 Royal AM Royal AM 0-3 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
23.05.2022 Royal AM Royal AM 2-3 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
30.04.2022 Royal AM Royal AM 1-2 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
2-1
AWAY Royal AM
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Royal AM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns edged past Royal AM 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 64% of the ball to Royal AM's 36%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.67 for Royal AM.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Royal AM?

Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 Royal AM in the South Afrika - Premier League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Royal AM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 61%, draw 23%, Royal AM 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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