Sparta Prag 1-1 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.37
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
9%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.8pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.13/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.84
+5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.1 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Teplice
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.48 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 Passes 212
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Teplice Teplice 1-4 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
17.12.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 0-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
19.08.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
04.03.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-1 HT 2-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
10.09.2022 Teplice Teplice 2-2 HT 1-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
09.04.2022 Teplice Teplice 0-3 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
1-1
AWAY Teplice
0.96 xG 0.49
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
443 Passes 184
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag and Teplice shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Sparta Prag carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 66% of the ball to Teplice's 34%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.96 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.00 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Teplice?

Sparta Prag 1-1 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 58%, draw 22%, Teplice 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
23 Nov 2024
15:30 Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava Analysis →
18:00 Slovacko vs Mlada Boleslav Analysis →
21:00 Hradec Kralove vs Viktoria Plzen Analysis →